Melbourne United vs Adelaide 36ers NBL Game Preview

Oct 12, 2024

2 min read

Melbourne United vs Adelaide 36ers Analysis

Melbourne United will face a tough challenge when they host the red-hot Adelaide 36ers at John Cain Arena on Sunday. Adelaide, riding high on momentum after back-to-back wins against Illawarra and Sydney, are primed to potentially pull off an upset against a well-rested United team.

The game is likely to be decided in the paint, where Adelaide’s size and strength could overwhelm Melbourne’s frontcourt. Melbourne’s defence has been solid, allowing just 82.6 points per game (2nd in the NBL), but they will need to raise their game against Adelaide’s in-form big men. Adelaide’s ability to convert in the paint, where they rank 3rd in the NBL with 43.5 points per game, will be key to their success.

Key Matchups

Montrezl Harrell & Isaac Humphries vs. United's Frontcourt: Adelaide’s dominance in the paint, led by Harrell and Humphries, will be a significant factor. Harrell’s league-leading rebounding and strong form (10.6 rebounds per game) gives the 36ers an edge against Melbourne’s underperforming big men, Rob Loe and Marcus Lee, who have struggled to make a consistent impact.

Perimeter Battle: Adelaide's guards, DJ Vasiljevic and Kendric Davis, have been in strong form, but they face a tough test against Melbourne’s defensive guards, Matthew Dellavedova and Shea Ili, both known for their ability to stifle shooters. This battle could dictate whether Adelaide's hot shooting continues.

Key Stats

Adelaide’s Momentum: The 36ers have covered the line in their last three matches, and their confidence is growing after impressive victories against contenders.
Melbourne’s Defensive Strength: United lead the NBL in opponent FG% and rank second in opponent 3P%, but their last game saw them concede over 90 points for the first time this season.
Adelaide’s Form in the Paint: With Harrell leading the charge and Humphries contributing strongly, the 36ers have been a force inside, scoring 48 points in the paint against Sydney.

Melbourne United Form

Melbourne will come into this game after a week’s rest, following their 101-88 loss to Cairns in Round 3. Despite their strong defensive reputation, United were caught off guard by Taran Armstrong’s impressive performance for the Taipans last time they played. Matthew Dellavedova’s full return to the squad after missing United's game against Perth and playing limited minutes against Cairns will strengthen their perimeter defence, but United will need to be prepared for Adelaide’s physicality inside.

Adelaide 36ers Form

The 36ers are surging, having won three straight after starting the season 0-2. Their recent 89-79 win over Sydney highlighted their energy, ball movement, and ability to find scoring options across the floor. DJ Vasiljevic continues to impress, shooting efficiently and contributing on the boards, while Harrell has been a game-changer with his inside presence.

Adelaide’s momentum, coupled with their strength in the paint, gives them a good chance of covering the line or even securing an upset victory. Melbourne’s defence will need to step up, particularly inside, where Harrell and Humphries will be looking to exploit any weaknesses. Expect a close game, but Adelaide have the form and the firepower to cause an upset at John Cain Arena.